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Morning Matters:

Weak Bond Market
by Geoff Garbacz

October 9, 2018

The yield on bonds has risen to a new high for the year surpassing the May high. How much more is there to go before the price of Treasury bonds turn around?

Unfortunately, unless the iShares Barclays 20 Year Treasury Bond Fund ETF (TLT) can get back above $115.41 the risk is a fall to $97.97 which would be the 2013 low.

The $97.97 level is based on the retracement from the 2013 low to the 2016 high. Unfortunately, the last retracement level of 61.8% was broken this month. Pay attention to bonds closely.

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