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Morning Matters:

A Change To Our Advance/Decline Model
by Geoff Garbacz

July 25, 2018

Currently, our advance/decline model has been in cash. This morning there is a change. The model moves from cash to sell.

The model is simple. Track the daily changes to the NYSE and NASDAQ advancers and decliners over the past 10 trading days. When the model moves to below -200 on the 10 day moving average for two straight days we either go to cash or a sell.

[Image 1]

We have been in cash since June 27th. It started to improve and moved back above +200 for two days on July 9th. However our proprietary RSI was above 70 so we stayed in cash until it moved below 50 then we would have gotten reinvested on the long side.

However,before this has happened the 10 day moving average moved below -200 for two straight says. As such, we move to a sell. This is our first sell since June of 2013 when the signal made 2.27%.

You have been warned.

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