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Morning Matters:

Russell 2000 Usually Leads The S&P 500 On The Way Down
by Geoff Garbacz

July 11, 2018

Yesterday the Russell 2000 was down now by -1.00% for the day at 1:50 p.m. EDT. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is higher by 0.15%. So why is this important?

At most peaks, the Russell 2000 begins to drop ahead of the S&P 500. Let's look at this concept and see how it has played out in 2018. For comparison, we use SPY as our proxy on the S&P 500 and IWM on the Russell 2000.

[Image 1]

Note that so far this year the Russell has not lagged the S&P 500 in turning down. It has led at the January, March and April peaks.

This led us to establish a new put trade in SPY for our sister service Options Index Trader yesterday that should pay off over the next few days.

We consider this to be a "fat pitch" setup that should bring about some nice gains for our readers.

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