Superstock Investor
Morning Briefing

Wednesday, December 16, 2020

Morning Matters:

Weekly Chart of the S&P 500 Via SPY

We are updating our look at the S&P 500 via our favorite chart of SPY through Tuesday's close.

The Weekly Displaced Moving Average (DMA) Channel (Yellow Band) sees the current price above the channel. As such, bias is positive.

[Image 1]

Second, the Erlanger Volume Swing (EVS) is at 9.71 from 14.82. Above 0 is good and below 0 is bad. The current action is still positive.

Third, the Erlanger Crossover Spread (EC) Spread is at 11.28 from 39.70.

Last, the Erlanger Trend Direction (ETD) is now in uptrend.

class="article">So what is an investor to do here? We would recommend nibbling on new ideas.

Positioning in our Morning Matters Portfolio off this chart and several other indicators moved to 100% cash on February 28th (see Flash Alert #446). We have started adding new buys and are 33% invested.


Market Matters:

Stocks Futures Higher On The S&P 500 By +11

Covid-19 Statistics: 

Total Cases 16,529,187 from 16,339,404

Deaths 295,322 from 292,404

New Tests 1,742,813 from 2,159,478

New Cases 189,783 from 193,384 with positivity rate of 10.8% 8.9% (up 1.9)

Daily Deaths 2,918

Current Hospitalizations 112,816 from 110,549

Capital Raises:

IPOs Priced: None of note.

Secondaries Priced: None of note.

Notes Priced of note: None of note.

Common Stock filings: PHAT SHSP NFE GLSI of note.

Selling Shareholders of note: None of note.

Mixed Shelf Offerings:LNT CYRX CTK IQ of note.

Convertible Offering Files: DISH COKE IQ of note.

Senior Notes Filed: None of note.

Earnings Out After The Close:

Beats: NDSN +0.06

Flat:  none

Misses: none

News After The Close (sorted by time starting at the close):

Ring Central (RNG) launches free smart video meetings. Negative for Zoom (ZM).

Oshkosh (OSK) to buy Pratt Miller for $115 million.

GoDaddy (GDDY) to buy Poynt for $320 million in cash.

Tilray (TLRY) and Aphria (APHA) may combine forces.

IBM buys Expertus Technologies as they move into hybrid cloud digital payments.

Marriott (MAR) cuts 800 jobs at Times Square Hotel. (NY Post)

Google (GOOGL) still having Gmail issues. A day after outage.

President-Elect Joe Biden names Former Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm as Secretary of Energy.

Dividend Increase: BEN 

Raises Guidance:

Lowers Guidance:

Stock Buyback New Or Increase: OLLI AZO

What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value. We will still indicate the fair value direction.

S&P 500 +5    Dow Jones Industrial Average +13   NASDAQ +27 Russell 2000 +11 . Fair values are mixed to lower. Asia lower and Europe higher. VIX is at 24.85 from 25.53 this morning in futures. VIX closed at 22.89 from 24.72 and the three month futures at 25.87 from 27.11.

Gold, silver and copper are higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures modestly lower. Natural Gas is lower. $ is lower vs Euro, lower vs Pound and lower vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $137.83 from $138 with the yield at 0.92% from 0.90%.

Positive Sectors On Tuesday: All lead by Materials, Energy and Utilities of note.

Negative Sectors On Tuesday: None of note. 

One Month Winners: Energy, Financials Real Estate and Industrials  of note.

Three Month Winners: Industrials, Communication Services, Utilities and Financials of note.

Six Month Winners: Consumer Cyclical, Industrials, Technology and Materials of note.

Twelve Month Winners: Technology, Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services and Healthcare of note.

Year to Date: Technology, Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services, Healthcare and Materials of note.

Upcoming Earnings Of: (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest with most visible names)

Today After the Close: LEN, ABM, MLHR, REVG of note.

Thursday Before the Open: ACN, GIS, CCL, JBL, TPTX, NAV, SAFM, WOR, RAD, CAMP of note.

Earnings This Morning Of Note:

Beats: none

Flat: none

Misses: none

Still to Report: TTC

Erlanger Research Advance/Decline Chart –  Updated 12/15 Close. Tuesday was a strong day.

Gap Ups & Down In Early Pre-Market:

Gap Up:

SIOX +30%, TLRY +28%, NBSE +15%, AOUT +12%, CLLS +11%, APHA +9%, VNTR +8%, AUPH +5%, WPG +4%

Gap Down:

VTVT -33%, GLPG -15%, PEN -9%, NFE -8%, IQ -7%, SHSP -7%, MRAM -6%, GLSI -5%, CSTL -4%, DISH -4%

Moving Average Index Update: All indexes positive.

Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story. 

Stocks Making The Biggest Moves TLRY APHA PEN MRNA .(CNBC)

5 things to know before the market opens.(CNBC)

Biggest analyst calls of the day. (CNBC Pro)

Coronavirus Update:  Health officials concerned over forgotten prisoners.(CNBC)

The Federal Reserve could disappoint today. (CNBC)

Bitcoin back above $20,000. (CNBC)

Amazon (AMZN) asks judge to throw out $10 billion cloud contract to Microsoft (MSFT) over political influence. (Reuters)


Weekly MBA Mortgage Applications were out at 7:00 a.m. EST and rose 1.1%.

December NAHB Housing Index is due out at 10:00 a.m. EST and is expected to fall to 88 from 90.

November Retail Sales is due out at 8:30 a.m. EST and is expected to fall to -0.2% from 0.3%. Actual -1.1%.

Geopolitical & Related:

President Trump holds a Cabinet Meeting 11:30 a.m. EST Cabinet Room.

Federal Reserve Open Market Committee concludes a two day meeting with a press conference at 2:30 p.m. EST.

Investor Meetings & Conferences of Note:

BE (Investor/Analyst Day) ADIL SRRA NOK (Update) YMAB VCYT  (R&D Day)  

Sellside Conferences: JMP Securities Hematology Summit (12/15-12/16) Cantor Fitzgerald Cannabis MSO Summit (12/15-12/16).Bank of America Hydrogen Conference (12/16-12/17)

Industry Conferences: SEMICON Japan (12/11-12/18)


Oshkosh (OSK) to buy Pratt Miller for $115 million.

GoDaddy (GDDY) to buy Poynt for $320 million in cash.

Tilray (TLRY) and Aphria (APHA) will combine forces. Just out!

IBM buys Expertus Technologies as they move into hybrid cloud digital payments.

Upgrades & Downgrades:



Today's Superstock Investor Stock Scorecard:

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN)
by Superstock Investor


Biomarin (BMRN) has fallen to $85.03 from a peak of over $130. Is there value here?

Company Information

Company: BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.
Sector: Pharmaceuticals
Industry: Biotechnology
Market Cap:  $17,667,465,800


  Price %Gain  
Current Price $91.44    
Price Target $86.87 -5.3%  
Upper Bound $108.59 18.8%  
Lower Bound $73.84 -19.3%  

Stock data last updated 03/19/2019.

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