Wednesday, February 12, 2020
Weekly Timing Chart Of The S&P 500
We are updating our look at the S&P 500 via our favorite chart of SPY through Tuesday's close.
UPDATE TO CHART BY THE OPEN, SORRY FOR THE DELAY
The charts will be updated by the open.
The Weekly Displaced Moving Average (DMA) Channel (Yellow Band) sees the current price still above the channel. As such, bias remains positive from pullback.
Second, the Erlanger Volume Swing (EVS) is at 9.24 from 10.61. Above 0 is good and below 0 is bad. The current action is now positive to mixed as itmoved below zero in the last week before recovering.
Third, the Erlanger Crossover Spread (EC) Spread is at -33.31 from -13.77 which moves to negative.
Last,the Erlanger Trend Direction (ETD) remains at pullback.
So what is an investor to do here? We would recommend to stay with strong stocks and start to trim the biggest winners that will see selling if any pullback begins now that we are in 2020.
Positioning in our Morning Matters Portfolio off this chart and several other indicators find cash is at 33% which is appropriate for the topping action here.
Futures Set To Open Higher For The Second Day This Week
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Research Paper – Employment data provides best predictor of recessions.
IPOs on deck: None of note.
IPOs Filed: None of note.
Secondaries Priced: MRNS XERS ADVM TBPH of note.
Notes Priced: None of note.
Common Stock filings: BLBD of note.
Mixed Shelf Offerings: ATO HAL of note.
Convertible Offering Files: None of note.
Senior Notes Filed: None of note.
Courtesy of IPO Financial
Earnings After The Close:
EXAS +0.90, PEAK +0.36, LYFT +0.20, AMCR +0.14, PRI +0.11, AKAM +0.10, CPSI +0.09, CNO +0.06, DENN +0.06, ACGL +0.06, ACCO +0.05, BXMT +0.04, DIOD +0.03, LSCC +0.02, NSP +0.02, KRNT +0.01, NCR +0.01, REXR +0.01 of note.
DCP (0.48), AIZ (0.10), VNOM (0.09), UDR (0.07), WU (0.05), VREX (0.04) of note.
DEI +0.00, HCSG +0.00, TGH +0.00
News After The Close (In Order of Time)
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) will tackle coronavirus with Health & Human Services.
Invesco (IVZ) sees assets drop 0.6% from December.
Artisan Partners (APAM) sees assets fall by 0.66%.
Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) falls -26% on weak holiday sales.
Stock Repurchase Announcements:
Dividend Increases: HE GOLD IPG
Gap Higher: PERI +9%, CPSI +7%, CSGP +5%, CVE +4%, ADMS +4%, LSCC +4%, BG +4%, MGI +4%
Gap Lower: BBBY -25%, NSP -19%, VREX -18%, MRNA -6%, LYFT -5%, WU -5%, TNAV -5%, KRNT -4%, BLBD -4%, NCR -4%
What’s Happening This Morning: Futures value reflects the change with fair value. We will still indicate the fair value direction.
S&P 500 +14 Dow Jones Industrial Average +140 NASDAQ +51 Russell 2000 +11. Fair values are lower. Asia and Europe higher.
Gold and silver lower with copper higher. WTI Crude Oil and Brent Oil Futures higher. Natural Gas is higher. $ is higher vs Euro, lower vs Pound and higher vs Yen. US 10 year Treasury price is at $130.75 from $130.95 with yields at 1.623% from 1.587%. Prices as of 8:30 a.m. EDT.
Positive Sectors On Tuesday: Materials, Energy, Services and Conglomerates of note.
Negative Sectors On Tuesday: None of note.
One Month Winners: Conglomerates, Utilities, Technology and Consumer Goods.
Three Month Winners: Healthcare, Consumer Goods and Technology.
Six Month Winners: Consumer Goods, Utilities, Healthcare, Technology, Industrials and Financials.
Twelve Month Winners: Consumer Goods,Technology, Utilities, Industrials and Services.
Year to Date: Conglomerates, Utilities, Technology, Consumer Goods and Industrial Goods.
Upcoming Earnings Of Note (sorted by market cap, highest to lowest)
Today After The Close: CSCO AMAT EQIX MFC WELL SLF WCN CDNS EFX MGM SSNC CTL IFF NLY
Thursday Before The Open: PEP BABA DUK ZTS BAM WM TRIP FIS AIG KHC TU FTS LH INCY ZBRA WST
Earnings This Morning Of Note
BG +0.98, TAP +0.24, SHOP +0.23, LAD +0.21, CYBR +0.16, AB +0.15, CIM +0.12, CIGI +0.10, MCO +0.08, IPG +0.05, CVS +0.04, NBL +0.03, GOLD +0.03, IQV +0.02, GPN +0.02, TEVA +0.01, CVE +0.01 of note.
PVG +0.00, ECOM +0.00, TW +0.00, ARCC +0.00
WNC (0.04), CME (0.03), RDWR (0.01) of note.
Still To Report: NSIT, TRVG
Rags & Mags: Highlighted Stories may be clicked through to the original story.
Top News Story:
5 Things To Know To Start Your Day. (Bloomberg)
5 Things To Know Before The Stock Market Opens. (CNBC)
Stocks Moving This Morning. (CNBC)
Coronavirus (COVID 19) update sees over 1100 dead from 1000 and over 45,000 from 44,000 infected. (NYT)
COVID 19 map in Asia. (NYT)
In Hong Kong looking to see if the coronavirus can spread through pipes and drains. (CNN)
OPEC takes down 2019 world oil demand growth by 0.02 mb/d.
Senator Bernie Sanders wins the New Hampshire Democratic primary giving him a legitimate victory post the debacle in Iowa. (CNN)
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicates may not have the tools to combat the next recession. (Bloomberg)
Stock Index Tracking
All back to positive. Current through 2/11 close.
Bold means a change from prior day.
Courtesy of Phil Erlanger Research, Inc.
Economic & Related:
The latest NYSE and NASDAQ Short Interest is out through the end of January and the NYSE fell -1.36% while NASDAQ fell -1.98%.
The latest API Petroleum Institute data was out at 4:30 p.m. EDT and saw crude oil build by 6 million barrels with estimates of 2.978 million barrels.
MBA Mortgage Applications rose 1.1% after rising 5% last week.
Weekly Crude Oil Inventories are due out at 10:30 a.m. EDT.
President Trump will lunch with the vice president and then meet with the President of Ecuador at 2:25 p.m. EDT and then attend a fundraiser at the Trump International Hotel.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will conclude two days of testimony before Senate at 10:00 a.m. EDT.
$27 Billion of 10 Year Treasuries at 1:00 p.m. EDT.
Meetings, Calls & Conferences
Investor/Analyst Days & Conference Calls of Note: (Investor Day) HTLF CSGP (Conference Call)
Sellside Conferences: Goldman Sachs Technology and Internet Conference (2/11-2/13). Stifel Transportation and Logistics Conference (2/11-2/13). Loop Capital Transportation, Logistics and Materials Conference (2/12-2/13).
Industry Conferences: Metro Connect USA (2/10-2/12). BIO CEO & Investor Conference (2/10-2/11). Chicago Auto Show (2/8-2/17). Enercom Dallas Energy Investment Conference. (2/11-2/12). Developers SF Bay Area Conference and Expo 2020 (2/12-2/16).
Heartland Financial (HTLF) to buy AIM Bancshares in cash and stock deal worth $280 million.
CoStar Groupbuys RentPath out of Chapter 11 for $588 million in cash.
Upgrades & Downgrades through 8:30 a.m. EDT 2/11
Today's Superstock Investor Stock Scorecard:
CVS Health Corporation (CVS)
by Superstock Investor
CVS Health (CVS) beat estimates today. The price is at $73.85. Is there value hear?
||CVS Health Corporation
||Food & Staples Retailing
Stock data last updated 03/19/2019.
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